Daily Gains Letter

Stock Market Rally

A sustained increase in stock prices over a period of time greater than one week is a stock market rally. Market rallies can last months or even years. There are up days and down days, but overall, the market moves higher over a period of time. The late 1990s saw one of the longest stock market rallies in history.


Next Stock Market Crash Coming Soon?



Stock Market CrashA look at the charts makes me a bit nervous that the next stock market crash could be on the horizon. The fact is that the market has not witnessed a correction of any major proportions in excess of 10% since the stock market began to turn up in March 2009. Sure, we have had the occasional five-percent adjustments in stocks, but these periods of selling were short-lived, always followed by periods of buying support. I suspect we could be on the verge of another correction that could drive the major stock indices down to test their respective 200-day moving averages (MAs) after already breaching the key short-term 50-day MA. While we would all love to see stocks continue to creep to new record highs, this is not ... Read More



YUM! Brands: The Next Big Restaurant Stock Winner?



YUM BrandsYou can't blame newly installed McDonald's Corp. (NYSE/MCD) CEO Steve Easterbrook for not being enthusiastic about the fast food restaurant stock. I’m certainly not; you can see my negative view towards the seller of the “Big Mac” here. Even after Easterbrook's new strategy to turn things around, you can’t get angry at me for not getting too excited. (And then there’s YUM! Brands, Inc., which is looking pretty darn good in comparison—but more on that later.)

McDonald’s New Strategy Not Doing Much for Operations

What is McDonald’s doing to try to turn t ... Read More


Apple: Still a Stock Market All-Star?



Apple a Stock Market All StarI no longer own an “iPhone” and I don't have plans anytime soon to order the “Watch,” a smartwatch from Apple Inc. (NASDAQ/AAPL). Yet despite my personal needs, I do think Apple is the king of the mountain in the stock market’s technology space. Some are suggesting the iPhone will eventually meet its match, but I have yet to see this. Apple sold something like 74.5 million iPhones in its first quarter. This a huge number, and it could get even better if existing users of older iPhones decide to stay. I didn't; I switched to the “Samsung Galaxy,” which I feel is a comparable alternative to the iPhone. But this is not about my personal taste. The reality is that Apple ha ... Read More



Alibaba: A Threat to Google?



Alibaba A Threat to GoogleSome say Alibaba Group Holding Limited (NYSE/BABA) is the Google Inc. (NASDAQ/ GOOG) of China. And that is currently the case at this juncture...until Google can gain a foothold in the country’s Internet technology sector. But that will not be easy. Comparing Alibaba to Google in the technology sector at this time is difficult. If we could fast-forward a few years, the answer to which Internet starlet is a better choice would likely be clearer. Google is currently nearly twice as big as Alibaba based on market capitalization. This on its own doesn’t mean that Google is superior; however, I will explain why I think it may indeed be the better choice now in the Internet technology ... Read More



Restaurant Sector: Two Contrarian Players to Watch



Restaurant SectorWhy the Restaurant Sector

This may be a surprise to you, but one of the top-performing sectors over the past few years has been the restaurant sector. While there has clearly been some euphoric buying, the fact that we are seeing stronger job growth and rising home wealth in the U.S. has helped as well. If you look at the chart of the Dow Jones U.S. Restaurants & Bars Index, you can see the upward moves, highlighted by several breakouts along the way, including the recent breakout from the sideways channel. I doubt the gains ahead will be as dynamic for the restaurant sector, but there will continue to be opportunities to accumulate stocks on price weakness.

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Investing in a Post-QE3 Market



Investing in a Post-QE3 MarketThe Federal Reserve made it official on Wednesday, announcing it would be cutting the remaining $15.0 billion from its monthly bond-buying program, also known as QE3. So with that, the period of easy money flowing into the pockets of investors is over. Remember, it was the Federal Reserve’s relaxed easy monetary policy that helped to drive the S&P 500 up nearly 200% since 2009—and now it’s over, folks. The stock market reacted with stocks heading lower, as there was a slight sliver of hope the Federal Reserve would decide to hold back on eliminating QE3. Investors will now have to deal with bond yiel ... Read More



Chasing Risk? This Market Won’t Be Kind to You



Why This Stock Market Calls for PrudenceMy stock screens have been displaying up signals over the past few days, but I’m still somewhat apprehensive about the most recent stock market rally—and you should be too. The stock market appears to be edging higher again after the S&P 500 closed above 1,900 at another intraday high on May 23. And while there is some buying support on the stock market charts, I still question the sustainability of any strong upside moves at this time, given the lack of any new catalyst. The reality is that the absence of any leadership and continued concerns towards technology and growth stocks suggest ... Read More



How to Invest in a Stock Market Correction



Stock Market CorrectionHas the stock market rebounded? Some seem to think so. After recording the worst month in more than a year and the first monthly loss since August, some analysts think the worst is behind us and February will be a winner. What further evidence do the bulls need than to point to the numbers! After falling more than three percent in January, the S&P 500 is up 0.75%; the NYSE is up a little more than 0.50%; the NASDAQ is up roughly 0.75%; and the Dow Jones Industrial Average is up around 0.50%. Not a spectacular display of strength—but enough to buoy up some investors. But the euphoria may be sho ... Read More



Time to Go Against the Key Stock Indices?



Key Stock IndicesTrading for 2014 has begun. In 2013, we saw massive moves on the key stock indices—something we have only seen a few times. For example, the S&P 500 moved up by almost 30%, and the NASDAQ Composite increased by more than 35%. Those who were long saw their portfolio grow, and those who went against the key stock indices probably had to question their strategy and re-allocate the capital. You can see for yourself in the chart below: key stock indices such as the S&P 500 maintained an upward trajectory throughout the year—and without any major hiccups.

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Why These Particular Markets Will Be More Attractive to Investors in 2014



Investors in 2014The U.S. stock market rally has been on a solid run this year, thanks in large part to the Federal Reserve’s $85.0-billion-per-month quantitative easing policy—well, that and some solid economic indicators. But the question remains: will the momentum continue into 2014? It all depends on whether or not the U.S. stock market rally follows the laws of physics. For example, when it comes to momentum, an object will continue unless force is applied against it, either a huge amount of force all at once or an applied force over a given period of time. On the other hand, the more momentum something has, the harder it is to stop. The fuel that has helped propel the U.S. stock market rally ... Read More