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The Sector That Will Bounce Back Once the Government Shutdown Is Over
By John Whitefoot for Daily Gains Letter | Oct 8, 2013
The U.S. government shutdown has turned some federal agencies into ghost towns, like NASA (with 97% of its workforce furloughed), the Department of Housing and Urban Development (96%), and the Department of Education (94%). Still, some agencies, like the Departments of Defense and Homeland Security—with just 18% and 14% of their staff on furlough, respectively—are considered more essential than others.
That said, those Department of Defense numbers may be a little misleading; military and contractor personnel were not affected by the U.S. government shutdown. Half of the Department of Defense’s civilian population of roughly 400,000 were furloughed without pay on October 1.
As a result, companies doing business with the Department of Defense will feel an immediate pinch to their bottom line. That’s in part because of civilian Department of Defense personnel performing audits and certifying military products and services—which they can’t do if they’re not working. An extended furlough also means government acquisition personnel cannot keep the military lifecycle going.
In light of the fact that roughly 10% of the manufacturing workforce in the U.S. is engaged in some form of defense production, the U.S. government shutdown could impact the U.S. economy on a larger scale than some imagine.
That said, the impact of the U.S. government shutdown on defense stocks will vary from company to company, depending on funding and other regulations. While smaller defense stocks tend to rely on government contracts for a larger percentage of their revenue than the biggest defense contractors, that doesn’t mean either will escape the U.S. government shutdown unscathed.
For example, The Boeing Company (NYSE/BA) warned that deliveries of some of its … Read More